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Sheehan: Pitcher Workloads (June 19, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 3:21 p.m., June 19, 2003 (#6) - eric (homepage)
  Ross,

I believe it was Tango who presented some study that showed there are more pitches during an average AB that results in a K or a BB than one that results in a BIP.

This is intuitive. You need a minimum of three pitches to get a K, so the average has to be higher than three for a K, and a minimum of four pitches to get a BB, so the average has to be higher than four fora BB. You only need to throw one pitch to get a BIP. So all those one- or two-pitch ABs should pull down the average number of pitches for an AB that results in a BIP.

In regards to the article, it's funny that Sutcliffe would talk about how many pitches he threw, and cite specific games. Any pitcher has high pitch-count games. In the homepage link is a game log of Clemens' 1996 season...three games over 150 pitches with a high of 161 (which was accomplished in 7.2 innings!). Randy Johnson likewise has high pitch counts, and I'm sure most pitchers that have had a decently long career have that one game where he got left in for a very long time (at least pitchers who came up before about five years ago). Oh well, I guess people on here don't need to be told that Sutcliffe says stupid stuff sometimes.


Gleeman - Jeter - Clutch (October 30, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 11:21 a.m., November 1, 2003 (#14) - Eric
  Scoriano, can you explain to us why being better than your teammates is clutch?


Pythag - Ben VL (December 12, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 5:20 p.m., December 14, 2003 (#1) - Eric (homepage)
  Homepage goes to a SOSHer's mini-study on team quality and marginal chances of winning the WS.

Interesting, as I would've expected the point where the marginal chance starts to get smaller much closer to the average win total of a playoff team.


Pythag - Ben VL (December 12, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 7:48 p.m., December 15, 2003 (#4) - Eric
  FJM, you can always point to exceptions. But for the aggregate, I'd imagine that regular season record DOES predict postseason success.


Sophomore Slumps? (March 23, 2004)

Discussion Thread

Posted 11:48 p.m., March 23, 2004 (#16) - Eric
  I think if you take a look at how the "sophomore slump" term is used, it will VERY often be used to refer to a ROY. And in general, it will be used to describe a player that had an outstanding rookie season, on some level. I don't think changing the sample of the study will change the effect. Gleeman's study was looking at players who had good rookie years. ROY winners were good choices for a sample.


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