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Felipe Alou: Is He Afraid of the Walk?

November 13, 2002 - KJOK

Tango, a quick look would seem to indicate that AGE has been a big factor in the Expos walk rates. Young hitters walk less, and the Expos have consistently had young teams under Alou. Perhaps it makes sense to look at the walk rate RELATIVE TO THE LEAGUE of each Alou season vs. other teams in history that have the almost same position player average age?


BP - Sample size and park factors (August 11, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 5:53 p.m., August 12, 2003 (#10) - KJOK(e-mail)
  For the years 1969, 1972-1992, & 1999-2002, hits and HR's at Dodger Stadium and in away games:

Home
Hits - 34,827
Home Runs - 3,103
Rate of HR/Hits = 8.9%

Away
Hits - 35,842
Home Runs - 3,264
Rate of HR/Hits = 9.1%


BP - Sample size and park factors (August 11, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 6:00 p.m., August 12, 2003 (#11) - KJOK(e-mail)
  Darn typo - Away HR's should be 3,274, which is still 9.1%....


BP - Sample size and park factors (August 11, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 6:12 p.m., August 12, 2003 (#12) - KJOK(e-mail)
  And for just the period 1999-2002:

Home
Hits - 5,379
HRs - 729
Rate - 13.55%

Away
Hits -5,887
HRs - 747
Rate - 12.69%

Maybe the park is depressing singles,doubles & triples even more than it normally does - perhaps due to the TYPE of pitchers LA has? (Just a thought...)


CF Rankings (August 22, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 2:12 p.m., August 22, 2003 (#4) - KJOK(e-mail)
  The DH does make a difference. When you adjust for league and park, Atlanta comes out on top. Interesting San Diego, with "old" Steve Finley, is near the top...


CF Rankings (August 22, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 9:44 p.m., August 25, 2003 (#16) - KJOK(e-mail)
  "Old Steve has been in Arizona since 1999. According to Mong, he's slightly below average." - OK, what's the symbol for sheepishly stupid smiley...


CF Rankings (August 22, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 9:46 p.m., August 25, 2003 (#17) - KJOK(e-mail)
  "When you adjust for league and park, Atlanta comes out on top.

Not sure what you mean. Did you take out FBs hit by DHs? Did you adjust for interleague play? What adjustments did you make for park?"

I adjusted for the 7% difference in leagues, and then applied the past 3 years run park factors as a proxy for "fielding park effects" which is probably not 100% valid.


Ned Colletti (September 15, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 3:51 p.m., September 16, 2003 (#2) - KJOK(e-mail)
  Actually, I think he answered it, AND answered it quite truthfully. Why else sign Perez unless you really need a good fielding infield backup and the manager really, really liked and wanted him?



2003 Park Factors (October 1, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 2:08 p.m., October 3, 2003 (#16) - KJOK(e-mail)
  Bob - certainly, the unbalanced schedule will somewhat skew the park factors for every team, and in a division with parks at both extremes, the unbalanced schedule will make both extremes skew towards being even more extreme.

To "factor out" this impact, you probably need to use a method such as this one:

http://www.highboskage.com/STATINFO.HTM


Persistency of reverse Park splits (November 20, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 3:05 p.m., November 21, 2003 (#7) - KJOK(e-mail)
  Yes, when were these new Shea seats added? I have around 1985 as the last time any major seating modifications were made to Shea...



Professor who developed one of computer models for BCS speaks (December 11, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 2:09 a.m., December 12, 2003 (#16) - KJOK(e-mail)
  "...I remember a similar type issue with Tennis a few years ago.

First of all, can someone go into more detail as to what the situation was?"

Tango, I think the Tennis issue is a little different. I believe in Tennis they use a 12 month rolling tournament results method, so that if a tournament win by the player was 12 months aga and is just about to "roll out" of the calculation, then there can be situations where even if the player wins the current tournament, because the current tournament is of a lesser "tier" than the one rolling out, and/or because the quality of opponents defeated is less, the player could lose points even if winning the tournament, and thus go down in ranking.


Super-lwts previews - Baserunning (December 23, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 8:48 p.m., December 23, 2003 (#1) - KJOK(e-mail)
  Pujols is an agressive runner, so I'd guess that he was thrown out on the bases more than average, but yet more than makes up for that by taking the extra base?

It's certainly not due to hit and runs, as Edmonds usually batted behind him, and even LaRussa was smart enough not to use the hit and run with Edmonds at the plate...


Baseball Prospectus - : Evaluating Defense (March 1, 2004)

Discussion Thread

Posted 11:05 a.m., March 2, 2004 (#15) - KJOK(e-mail)
  I agree with Cricketing Baseballer. UZR's are fantastic FOR YEARS WHERE YOU HAVE PLAY BY PLAY DATA!

For the rest of the history of baseball, good alternative methods are still needed.


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