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Reliever Usage Pattern, 1999-2002 (June 24, 2003)
Discussion Thread
Reliever Usage Pattern, 1999-2002 (June 24, 2003)
Discussion ThreadPosted 4:41 p.m.,
June 24, 2003
(#6) -
tribefan08
Thanks Tango. Great response. Now I understand better. I'll look forward to that complete measure someday soon. In the meantime could you point me to some of your win probability added type measures you mentioned?
SABR 301- Win Probability Added (June 26, 2003)
Posted 12:47 p.m.,
June 30, 2003
(#1) -
tribefan08
Tango,
When Drinen does his WPA he uses a simulator to find the individual park win expectancies. When you did your quick attempt at WPA did you use park factors or did you just use the Win Expectancy table that is listed on your site?
I am trying to compile a list of the best relievers in the game using win expectancy. What do you suggest would be the best way to go about this. I know you suggested LI times ARP at one point and then retracted that statement. Is there a way to calculate ARP including inning/score states? Or is WPA the best measure by itself? If you do think I need the park adjusted win expectancies, how would I get these if I don't have a simulator? Thanks Tango. P.S. this site is dead when you aren't around.....