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Futility Infielder - 2003 DIPS (January 27, 2004)

Discussion Thread

Posted 1:16 p.m., January 27, 2004 (#10) - tj
  And they signed Pat Hentgen, who was one of the most 'lucky' by DIPS.

Being lucky by DIPS doesn't necessarily mean that a pitcher isn't good. If a guy hits 30 homers a year for five years, and suddenly hits 50, does that mean he's not good because he fluked into 20 extra homers? Of course not. You'll still take the 30. Given that Hentgen was recovering from tommy john surgery, he seems like a good bet to improve on his 2003 dERA.


Futility Infielder - 2003 DIPS (January 27, 2004)

Discussion Thread

Posted 2:29 p.m., January 27, 2004 (#13) - tj
  I don't get what you're saying, Andrew, but maybe it's because I'm not a regular here. Batista and Lilly both scored pretty well in Jaffe's numbers. Batista was in the top 20 in the majors and he's a groundballer. Lilly's got good strikeout rates in his history. That all seems, well maybe not pro-DIPS, but consistent with DIPS. Am I missing something? I'm not being sarcastic, I just don't see the criticism.


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