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New postseason odds (August 17, 2003)

Discussion Thread

Posted 12:58 p.m., August 19, 2003 (#7) - Matthew(e-mail) (homepage)
  Mark,

I just did a side-by-side comparison of the Marlins and Phillies remaining schedule. Removing common matchups and head-to-head games, here are the differences in their schedules:

Florida Away: Colorado 3 games, San Francisco 3
Florida Home: Montreal 2, Pittsburgh 3

Philadelphia Away: Montreal 1, Milwaukee 3, St. Louis 3
Phila. Home: Boston 1, New York Mets 1, Cincinnati 3

It appears to me that Philadelphia's away schedule is easier than Florida's (Colorado is 41-19 at home this year), thus accounting for the strength of schedule effect you've observed.


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