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New postseason odds (August 17, 2003)
Discussion ThreadPosted 12:58 p.m.,
August 19, 2003
(#7) -
Matthew(e-mail)
(homepage)
Mark,
I just did a side-by-side comparison of the Marlins and Phillies remaining schedule. Removing common matchups and head-to-head games, here are the differences in their schedules:
Florida Away: Colorado 3 games, San Francisco 3
Florida Home: Montreal 2, Pittsburgh 3
Philadelphia Away: Montreal 1, Milwaukee 3, St. Louis 3
Phila. Home: Boston 1, New York Mets 1, Cincinnati 3
It appears to me that Philadelphia's away schedule is easier than Florida's (Colorado is 41-19 at home this year), thus accounting for the strength of schedule effect you've observed.