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New postseason odds (August 17, 2003)
Discussion ThreadPosted 3:40 a.m.,
August 19, 2003
(#4) -
Mark
The Red Sox (71-53) have a 58.6% chance of taking the wild card, and the A's (71-53) have a 28.6% chance? And the Phillies are at 62.5% of winning the wild card, and the Marlins 20.4%, when the Phillies are 0.5 games up? There must be some serious strength-of-schedule effects going on here.
New postseason odds (August 17, 2003)
Posted 3:20 p.m.,
August 19, 2003
(#9) -
Mark
Matthew: Interesting, it's still amazing that the SoS effect is so strong (more than tripling the chance, given virtually identical records). Also I think Colorado's home record is a bit of a mirage, and SF hasn't been playing all that well lately. I notice the Baseball Prospectus projections have slightly more favorable, but still similar, numbers: 60.4% for Philly and 29.4% for Florida.
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