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List of All Posters
Bruce, Lee, and the Goose
December 17, 2002 - Anonymous
Are Managers Optimizing Their Best Relievers?
December 31, 2002 - Anonymous
Paul Shuey was always a good middle reliever for the Tribe. He has the nastiest stuff in Baseball (Peter Gammons always says he has filthy stuff). But the Tribe couldn't rely on him as a closer. When his splitter wasn't walking he would bounce pitches in the dirt and walk guys or leave it hanging in the strikezone and get whacked.
He had a postseason record of 1-4 with a 4.34 ERA. He couldn't be counted on in pressure situations. He only has 22 saves in 9 years Plus he was injury prone. He's missed alot of games with groin injuries. The Tribe drafted him #2 overall in 1992 as there closer of the future. But he never lived up to it.
Are Managers Optimizing Their Best Relievers?
January 1, 2003 - Anonymous
Regarding Paul Shuey, he was labeled unfairly a failure as a closer when he was called up out of single A ball and inserted directly into the closer's role. Two years later, when he was dominating AAA ball and ready to pitch in the majors, his reputation was already tarnished. If you look at his percentage of saves + holds divided by saves + holds + blown saves, I don't see anything to suggest that he can't handle pressure.
The more substantial problem is his frequent trips to the DL. He spends half a year working his way up in the bullpen pecking order and then gets injured again about the time he starts earning a manager's confidence.
How are Runs Really Created - Second Installment
August 25, 2002 - Anonymous
Tango, if you recall the discussions on that primer-methods forum, it was the position of several well-qualified analysts that models don't matter--all that matters is accuracy in the range of interest. To them, the range of interest was the 3 to 6 R/G range of real MLB teams. To me, and to you, the range of interest is 0 to infinity R/G.
In your next installment (or the one after that :)), I hope you delve into the subject of how to apply a successful team run formula to individuals. I believe that this area has NOT to this point been analyzed properly, and I am curious as to what you have come up with.
Fewest BB / PA, since 1947, min 150 PA (July 10, 2003)
Discussion ThreadPosted 4:31 p.m.,
July 10, 2003
(#1) -
Anonymous
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SABR 301 - Regression towards the mean (July 22, 2003)
Posted 9:37 a.m.,
February 24, 2004
(#5) -
Anonymous
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Gleeman - Andruw Jones and Mike Cameron (August 15, 2003)
Discussion ThreadPosted 11:45 a.m.,
August 21, 2003
(#4) -
Anonymous
>????
Bonds, Pujols and BaseRuns (September 6, 2003)
Discussion ThreadPosted 9:52 p.m.,
March 16, 2004
(#33) -
Anonymous
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Factors that affect the chances of scoring (September 24, 2003)
Posted 8:38 a.m.,
October 10, 2003
(#31) -
Anonymous
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Results of the Forecast Experiment (October 2, 2003)
Posted 7:57 a.m.,
October 3, 2003
(#1) -
Anonymous
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RISP for hitters and pitchers (October 13, 2003)
Posted 1:41 p.m.,
October 14, 2003
(#6) -
Anonymous
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Relevancy of the Post-season (October 16, 2003)
Posted 12:15 a.m.,
October 18, 2003
(#12) -
Anonymous
Gleeman - Game 4 (October 23, 2003)
Posted 11:01 a.m.,
October 23, 2003
(#1) -
Anonymous
Results of the Forecast Experiment, Part 2 (October 27, 2003)
Posted 12:28 a.m.,
January 26, 2004
(#84) -
Anonymous
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Baseball Player Values (November 22, 2003)
Discussion ThreadPosted 11:57 p.m.,
February 4, 2004
(#29) -
Anonymous
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Diamond Mind Baseball - Gold Glove Winners (December 11, 2003)
Discussion ThreadPosted 11:21 a.m.,
December 12, 2003
(#16) -
Anonymous
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UZR, 2000-2003, Adjusted by Difficulty of Position (December 21, 2003)
Posted 12:54 p.m.,
December 22, 2003
(#18) -
Anonymous
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Valuing Starters and Relievers (December 27, 2003)
Posted 12:52 p.m.,
December 27, 2003
(#1) -
Anonymous
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Valuing Starters and Relievers (December 27, 2003)
Posted 7:27 p.m.,
December 27, 2003
(#6) -
Anonymous
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Forecasting Pitchers - Adjacent Seasons (January 30, 2004)
Posted 1:06 p.m.,
January 31, 2004
(#28) -
Anonymous
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Competitive Balance - What If NHL, NBA, and MLB had the same playoff systems? (March 8, 2004)
Posted 11:49 a.m.,
March 8, 2004
(#1) -
Anonymous
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MGL - Questec and the Strike Zone (March 20, 2004)