Step 1 win% = W / (W + L) 1/win% = (W + L) / W 1/win% = (1 + L/W) win% = 1 / (1 + L/W) Step 2 Home Site Advantage is 54%, or 54/46 W/L or 46/54 L/W And so: since win% = 1 / (1 + L/W) home_win% = 1 / (1 + L/W * 46/54) So, if you are a .600 team at a neutral site (and .400 losing percentage), then: home_win% = 1 / (1 + .4/.6 * 46/54) = 1 / (1 + .568) = .638 That's a gain of +.038, very close to simply adding +.040 And if you are an .800 team? home_win% = 1 / (1 + .2/.8 * 46/54) = 1 / (1 + .213) = .824 In this case, a gain of only +.024