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Batter's Box Team Previews (March 1, 2004)

You can keep up with the team previews from the gang at Batter's Box at the above link.
--posted by TangoTiger at 01:56 PM EDT


Posted 3:20 p.m., March 1, 2004 (#1) - Matt Rauseo
  GPA, my ass.

Posted 4:48 p.m., March 1, 2004 (#2) - Patriot
  I don't know why Matt is so hostile towards GPA, but at least GPA manages to make a BA scale without messing up the proportional relationship between two players(unlike EQA).

Sorry for hijacking the DBacks thread.

Posted 5:10 p.m., March 1, 2004 (#3) - Matt Rauseo
  If your going add, multiple and divide why not just use linear weights?

Posted 11:10 p.m., March 1, 2004 (#4) - AED
  Yeah, once you get past OPS, it's not something the average person can do without a calculator. At which point, you should use something more significant. If you want a batting average scale, how about multiplying Tango's lwtsOBA by 0.78? Or the base equation of EqA could be scaled to give another comparable value, but lwtsOBA is better-correlated with run production than is EqA.

Posted 12:59 a.m., March 2, 2004 (#5) - Robert S
  Very solid analysis.

I'm not as optimistic about Arizona's chances in 2004:

- Luis Gonzalez is playing despite the fact that he needs surgery on his throwing arm; he may last the season or he may be finished tomorrow - I don't have much faith in the former for an outfielder of his age

- the D-Backs are already unable to field three good outfielders and if Gonzalez goes down, it's going to be ugly out there

- After Johnson and Webb, who are both huge question marks, the rotation listed looks awful; I'm not familiar with Fossum, but his numbers and projections are not impressive

- Arizona has quite a few good-looking young arms in MLB/AAA limbo who should be given a shot; Dessens and Reynolds need to pitch as few innings as possible

- Dudek is right about the bullpen; Villarreal, for one, is too good to waste there and Brenly seems determined to underutilize him

- the infield defense is going to be bad; hopefully, Cintron can pick up some slack from Hillenbrand, but I don't think that there is anything that can be done about the right side - these guys are going to hurt Webb the most