Diamond Mind Baseball - Team Forecast Results (February 12, 2004)
Once again, the collective wisdown of the baseball fan (the Vegas over/under) does a fine good job.
--posted by TangoTiger at 05:25 PM EDT
Posted 12:16 p.m.,
February 13, 2004
(#1) -
bob mong
(homepage)
How about the collective wisdom of the Primates?
Check out our collective prediction.
Here's what we thought:
AL East: BOS, NYY, TOR, BAL, TBD (score: 2)
AL Central: MIN, CHW, CLE, KCR, DET (score: 2)
AL West: OAK, SEA, ANA, TEX (score: 0)
NL East: PHI, NYM, ATL, MON, FLA (score: 26)
NL Central: HOU, STL, CHC, CIN, PIT, MIL (score: 8)
NL West: SFG, ARI, LAD, COL, SDP (score: 2)
Using the DMB scoring system, we scored a 40. Not too bad, I don't think. But wait! If you look back at the list of predictions, you can see that somebody hacked the system! Somebody entered 20 predictions (#s 523-542), all with the same prediction: Everybody finishes with 81 wins except the Yankees, who finish with zero and the Mets, who finish with 199.
If we factor out these 20 obviously silly predictions, then here are the revised standings (changes bolded):
AL East: NYY, BOS, TOR, BAL, TBD (new score: 0)
AL Central: MIN, CHW, CLE, KCR, DET (score: 2)
AL West: OAK, SEA, ANA, TEX (score: 0)
NL East: PHI, ATL, NYM, MON, FLA (new score: 14)
NL Central: HOU, STL, CHC, CIN, PIT, MIL (score: 8)
NL West: SFG, ARI, LAD, COL, SDP (score: 2)
So the actual Primate score is...26! If Scott and Tippett had seen fit to include us, we would have placed 2nd. We beat Vegas, we beat DMB, we beat everybody except the LA Times. Good job everybody (except the hacker)!
Posted 2:06 p.m.,
February 13, 2004
(#2) -
Laughing All The Way To The Bank
From the Vegas-may-be-smart-but-they-don't-know-everything department, a number of sportsbooks thought the Mets were going to have a good season. I think the over/under I bet was 86.5.
If they'd had the same line on the Marlins, I would have taken it, and I would have called it a good bet. I would have lost the money, but it's still a good bet given the information available in April '03.